logicp 2 anos atrás
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7ee60a41b5
1 arquivos alterados com 9 adições e 9 exclusões
  1. 9 9
      new/Norm_Fenton.md

+ 9 - 9
new/Norm_Fenton.md

@@ -51,10 +51,10 @@
 #### Definitions
 #### Definitions
 - Case => Positive PCR test, dies of reasons other than Covid => Covid hospitalization and Covid death
 - Case => Positive PCR test, dies of reasons other than Covid => Covid hospitalization and Covid death
 - All metrics driven by Covid Case
 - All metrics driven by Covid Case
-  - - How many asymptomatic?
-  - - How many hospitalized for non-COVID?
-  - - How many infected at institution?
-  - - How many deaths with infection vs from infection?
+  - How many asymptomatic?
+  - How many hospitalized for non-COVID?
+  - How many infected at institution?
+  - How many deaths with infection vs from infection?
 
 
 #### PCR Positive
 #### PCR Positive
 Cases include:
 Cases include:
@@ -90,9 +90,9 @@ Confirmation test was only PCR, reducing accuracy
 #### Lack of confirmatory testing
 #### Lack of confirmatory testing
 - PCR obvious problems
 - PCR obvious problems
 - What's less well known is that the biggest cause of differences in reporting PCR false positive probabilities is whether the probability assumes a confirmatory test is being carried out:
 - What's less well known is that the biggest cause of differences in reporting PCR false positive probabilities is whether the probability assumes a confirmatory test is being carried out:
-  - - If the false probability for a single PCR test is 0.5%
-  - - All positives require a second test before announcing confirmation
-  - - If independent test, probability both are false positive: 0.005 * 0.005 = 0.000025 = 0.0025%
+  - If the false probability for a single PCR test is 0.5%
+  - All positives require a second test before announcing confirmation
+  - If independent test, probability both are false positive: 0.005 * 0.005 = 0.000025 = 0.0025%
 
 
 If few people are being tested and you have luxury of confirmatory testing, you will almost see no false positives.
 If few people are being tested and you have luxury of confirmatory testing, you will almost see no false positives.
 Confirmatory testing is almost never done
 Confirmatory testing is almost never done
@@ -106,8 +106,8 @@ Most positive PCR test results really are false positives
 #### Impacts
 #### Impacts
 - 41% of those testing positive never develop symptoms
 - 41% of those testing positive never develop symptoms
 - Jan 2020 - Dec 2021:
 - Jan 2020 - Dec 2021:
-  - - 4.7% didn't have major underlying comorbidity
-  - - Most of these not hospitalized because of COVID
+  - 4.7% didn't have major underlying comorbidity
+  - Most of these not hospitalized because of COVID
 - Post surgical units showing up to 68% COVID hospitalizations acquired infection post-admission
 - Post surgical units showing up to 68% COVID hospitalizations acquired infection post-admission
 
 
 #### Children (< 18)
 #### Children (< 18)